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EUR/USD: maintaining a sell-on-upticks approach – KBC

FXStreet (Barcelona) - With short-term outlook for the EUR being bearish, but interest rates failing to support the dollar substantially, the KBC Bank Research Team maintains a cautious sell-on-upticks approach for EUR/USD for now.

Key Quotes

“At the end of last week, the EUR/USD rebound lost momentum. Thursday’s rejected test of the 1.1050 area might have been a sign that the euro comeback has run its course.”

“The short-term technical picture looks promising for EUR/USD bears. At the same time, the dollar doesn’t get any substantial interest rate support.”

“We keep a cautious sell-on-upticks approach for the EUR/USD cross rate. Over the next days we will know whether the current rebound is more than end of month/quarter repositioning.”

“The long-term technical picture for the EUR/USD cross rate is bearish since the pair dropped below the previous cycle low (1.1098).”

“The 1.0500 area was extensively tested, but a sustained break didn’t occur.”

“The dollar started a correction after the Fed March Fed meeting. The 1.1043/98 (post FOMC high/prev. low) resistance area was tested last week, but the test was rejected.”

“A rebound north of 1.1534, still far away, is needed however to question the downtrend.”