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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Trims losses near 1.0700, the bearish outlook remains intact

  • EUR/USD trades on a stronger around 1.0700 in Monday’s early European session. 
  • The pair keeps the negative vibe below the key 100-period EMA, with the bearish RSI indicator. 
  • The key upside barrier will emerge near 1.0762; 1.0670 acts as an initial support level for the pair. 

The EUR/USD pair trims losses near 1.0700 during the early European session on Monday. The upside of the major pair might be limited as investors are concerned about the political uncertainties in the Eurozone, particularly the outcome of a snap election in France. Furthermore, the firmer US Dollar (USD) after the stronger-than-expected US PMIs released on Friday might lift the Greenback and create a headwind for the pair. 

Technically, the bearish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair holds below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart. The downward momentum is backed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands in the bearish zone near 40.0, indicating that further downside looks favorable. 

The key upside barrier for EUR/USD will emerge near 1.0762, portraying the confluence of the 100-period EMA and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. Further north, the next hurdle is seen at 1.0815, a high of June 15. Any follow-through buying will see a rally to 1.0852, a high of June 12. 

On the flip side, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.0670 acts as an initial support level for the major pair. A breach of this level will pave the way to 1.0650, a low of May 1. The additional downside filter to watch is the 1.0600 psychological level. 

EUR/USD 4-hour chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0701
Today Daily Change 0.0008
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 1.0693
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0795
Daily SMA50 1.0769
Daily SMA100 1.0796
Daily SMA200 1.0789
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0721
Previous Daily Low 1.0671
Previous Weekly High 1.0762
Previous Weekly Low 1.0671
Previous Monthly High 1.0895
Previous Monthly Low 1.065
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.069
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0702
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0669
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0645
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0619
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0719
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0745
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0768

 

 

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FX option expiries for June 24 NY cut

FX option expiries for June 24 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0690 1.4b 1.0700 1.3b 1.0710 742m 1.0755 717m - GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.2630 570m 1.2840 439m - USD/CHF: USD amounts 0.8910 1.1b - AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.6500 427m 0.6640 410m - USD/CAD: USD amounts 1.3585 400m 1.3700 1.3b .
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